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Modi's Big Indo-Pacific Swing: Why Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand All Matter Right Now

A six-day trip that's been years in the making

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By Abhinav Singh
Published Jul 4, 2026, 10:26:09 AM | Updated Jul 4, 2026, 10:26:09 AM
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India-Japan Joint Economic Forum with PM Modi
India-Japan Joint Economic Forum with PM Modi
@narendramodi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi packs his bags on July 6 for a six-day, three-country tour that reads like a checklist of India's most important — and most underrated Indo-Pacific relationships. Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand. Different time zones, different priorities, but stitched together by one idea India has been pushing hard for over a decade: Act East isn't just a slogan anymore, it's a schedule.

The Ministry of External Affairs confirmed the itinerary on Friday, and MEA Secretary (East) Rudrendra Tandon didn't mince words about the strategic logic. India just wrapped up visits to Mauritius and Seychelles, hosted Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in New Delhi, and now the compass swings east from the western Indian Ocean straight into the Pacific-facing democracies India has been quietly courting.

Here's what's actually on the table in each stop.

Jakarta first: temples, trade, and a missile deal that's finally close

Modi lands in Indonesia on July 6, his first visit there since 2018, and it's very much a return favour. President Prabowo Subianto made the trip to India back in January 2025, and Jakarta has been waiting for the reciprocal gesture ever since. The two leaders reportedly get along well — Prabowo is said to admire Modi's domestic policy approach, and Modi appreciates Indonesia's more measured read on China's role in the region.

The substance runs deep. Bilateral trade between the two countries touched roughly $25 billion last year, though both governments have been eyeing a much bigger number somewhere around $50 billion and progress toward that target has lagged. Expect discussions on critical minerals, digital commerce, pharmaceuticals, medical training and tourism, building on groundwork laid last month when foreign ministers S. Jaishankar and Sugiono co-chaired the 8th India-Indonesia Joint Commission Meeting.

The headline item, though, is defence. India's Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh told the Shangri-La Dialogue that negotiations over a BrahMos supersonic cruise missile deal with Indonesia are in their final stages a signal that this trip could produce more than just warm statements. There's also quiet talk of connectivity between India's Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Indonesia's Aceh province, two coastlines barely 150 kilometres apart, sitting right next to the strategically vital Malacca Strait.

And because no India-Indonesia visit is complete without acknowledging the civilisational thread between them, Modi will travel to Yogyakarta to visit the Prambanan Temple complex, a UNESCO World Heritage Site — a nod to the centuries-old cultural exchange that predates every trade agreement being negotiated this week.

Melbourne: minerals, cyber, and a Cricket Ground detour

From Jakarta, Modi heads to Australia for the second leg, running July 8 to 10, mostly based in Melbourne. This is his third visit to the country, after trips in 2014 and 2023, and it centres on the third India-Australia Annual Summit - the top-tier mechanism set up under the 2020 Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.

Officials have flagged critical minerals, cybersecurity, supply chain resilience and emerging technologies as the core themes, with defence cooperation now firmly established as one of the relationship's fastest-growing pillars. That momentum has been building for months: Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Defence Minister Richard Marles were both in India recently for Quad and defence-dialogue meetings, and Australia's own National Defence Strategy 2026 has named India a top-tier security partner.

It's not all boardrooms and briefings, though. Modi is expected to meet leaders from major Australian companies and in a detail that will likely generate more headlines than any communiqué pay a visit to the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Auckland: a 40-year wait, finally over

The final stretch is arguably the most symbolically loaded. Modi arrives in New Zealand on July 11, and as Prime Minister Christopher Luxon put it himself, it's the first visit by an Indian prime minister to the country in roughly four decades. That's not a small gap to close.

The timing follows April's India-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement, which eliminates tariffs on all of India's exports to New Zealand and cuts duties on 95 percent of New Zealand's exports to India.

It's a genuinely significant deal, but not an entirely uncomplicated one the visit arrives against a backdrop of rising anti-Indian sentiment in parts of New Zealand and some friction within Luxon's own ruling coalition over the trade pact itself. Whether Modi's visit smooths that over or simply papers around it will be worth watching.

On the ground, expect the now-familiar mix: bilateral talks with Luxon, meetings with business and sports figures, and a major diaspora event in Auckland being billed as "Kia Ora Modi." The Indian community in New Zealand is small compared to Australia's, but it's engaged, and the government in New Delhi has made diaspora outreach a signature feature of nearly every overseas trip in recent years.

The bigger picture

Strip away the temple visits and cricket-ground photo-ops, and what's left is a fairly deliberate statement: India wants to be seen as indispensable across the Indo-Pacific, not just to the usual Quad partners but to the wider neighbourhood Southeast Asia, Oceania, and everyone watching how China's regional posture keeps shifting.

Six days, three capitals, one long-running argument that India is done being a bystander in the Pacific conversation. Whether the deals actually get signed the BrahMos agreement especially will be the real test of how much of this trip was substance versus stagecraft.