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US Votes in Midterms Seen as Referendum on Trump's Second Term

Congress control in the balance after 50 million votes cast; polls show Democratic advantage in the House, Senate too close to call.

V
Published Nov 3, 2026, 4:26:17 PM | Updated Nov 3, 2026, 4:26:18 PM
President Donald Trump speaks in front of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, in Washington.
President Donald Trump speaks in front of the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, in Washington.
The Canadian Press
Early ballots, long lines and a president not on the ticket

Elections began Tuesday, November 3, with over 50 million people in America already voting. Many millions more are expected to vote on election day itself.

There is no ballot item for Donald Trump, but he will continue to be president regardless of the result. The election is, however, viewed as a vote on his second term in office and a way of limiting his powers.

What voters say is driving them

Mood is affected by the economy and warfare. Voters have complained of the high cost of living, high gas prices resulting from the beginning of the Iran war, and the uncertainty of employment in the age of artificial intelligence.

According to The Associated Press, voters have complained about their problems with high prices and dissatisfaction with the unwelcome war against Iran. Foreign policy and immigration issues are also debated.

Polling numbers reveal the difficulties Republicans face. According to a polling aggregator, the approval rating of Trump is at 37%, while the disapproval rating stands at 61%.

What is at stake

Republicans control both Houses by narrow margins. The House is around 218 to 214 while the Senate is 53 to 47. Democrats need three additional seats in the House and four more seats in the Senate.

Calculating the Senate will not be easy. Democrats require 51 seats since Vice President JD Vance has a tie-breaking vote for the Republicans. Thirty-five out of 100 Senators are up for election, with 22 Senators from the Republicans’ side and 13 Democrats seeking re-election.

Governorships and ballot issues will also be on the ballot. There will be 145 ballot measures covering issues like abortion, voting identity, and tax.

What the forecasts say

Forecasters see an edge for Democrats in the House. The last Power Rankings from Fox News indicate that the Democrats will reclaim control of the House and give the Senate a tossup.

One polling site is predicting that 230 House seats will go to Democrats, and 205 to the Republicans, with a range of 210 to 250 seats. The generic ballot polls favor the Democrats, but by different margins.

Forecasts are not predictions. As pointed out by Yahoo News, there has been almost no polling bias against Republicans in Trump-era election cycles where Trump was not on the ballot.

The Republican case for holding on

Republicans certainly have some advantages. According to Cook Political Report, redistricting may give Republicans four seats in total, with nine seats won in states like Texas, Florida, and Ohio and five seats lost in California and Utah.

Moreover, the Senate map is also advantageous to the Republicans. It was referred to as the map advantageous to the Republicans. Moreover, the Republican committees have outraised and outspent the Democratic committees, partially because of funds raised from organizations associated with Trump and Elon Musk.

Trump believes he will win. Trump said that Republicans will win the House and the Senate. He hopes that the white working class will be able to save his Republican allies if they come in large numbers.

Trump campaigns as if he were running

The president has played an essential role. He held a number of rallies all around the country encouraging his MAGA base to turn out as though he were running for office.
He visited red states such as Mississippi, South Carolina, and Texas in his tour itinerary.

Concerns about the vote itself

Election Administration Questions are Part of the Day’s Narrative. The Justice Department was to send a record-breaking 1,000 observers to polling places, and the effort received criticism as voter intimidation.

Lawsuits have been filed by the administration in Alaska and California, and the Democrats are concerned about meddling as the Justice Department promises to take action against local election officials. Democrats and neutral observers have trained tens of thousands of volunteers to observe polling places.

The administration has not concurred with the criticisms raised in the reports.

When results come

Polls begin closing starting at 6 pm EST. Polls start closing at 6 pm ET on November 3rd. Close elections and recounts could cause delays in call times.

Source
Bloomberg; The Guardian (via AOL); Associated Press (via ClickOrlando); ETV Bharat; Fox News; Yahoo News; NBC News; Euronews; Mappr; PollCheck; Council on Foreign Relations
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